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Local models, the AI job market, and the frontier AI APIs at work - our current research tracks:

One benchmarked on our own hardware, one read from live data, one priced live from the routing market. Each links through to the page that owns the depth, and we're explicit about which numbers are ours and which we're reporting.

01 · Local models Measured on our hardware · 96GB dual-4090

We benchmarked twelve local LLMs on a £6,200, 96GB rig. Five "rules" didn't survive it.

Five days, twelve open-weight models, one pinned engine, on two modded RTX 4090s - 48GB each, 96GB across the pair. Every number is measured on our own hardware, and the ones that mattered overturned rules we'd written into our own notes as fact: a 117-billion-parameter model serving at 153 tokens per second on consumer silicon, tensor parallelism 42% faster on a model that fits one card, the cards losing nothing when we capped their power, and a 16.6GB model that wouldn't load on a 48GB card because it ran a kilobyte short of a memory no spec sheet mentions. The full twelve-model table, the per-model flags and the raw dataset are downloadable from the hub.

153 tok/s
117B model (gpt-oss) on consumer 4090s
+42%
faster splitting a model that fits one card (TP2)
£6,200
the rig, vs ~£13k for one 96GB card
5 rules
settled doctrines the measurements refuted
02 · AI and the job market Live · YubHub

AI isn't coming for your job. The data says it's coming for the grunt work.

27,173 live job ads from the YubHub index, joined to Anthropic's Economic Index and cross-checked against LinkedIn's Work Change Report. Three findings hold up everywhere we look: the most AI-exposed roles are still being hired in volume (augmentation in the data, not displacement); the work that stays is judgement, strategy and integration; and the market is rotating rather than retreating - 1.3 million new AI-related roles in two years, with job titles appearing weekly that didn't exist as categories three years ago.

Skills where AI shows up in the work, augmentation at scale
50 skills · Anthropic Economic Index methodology · /stats/skill-ai-exposure
Live
Amplified · humans + AI Native · work the model does directly
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 50 100 250 500 1,000 2,000 AI exposure (Anthropic Economic Index, March 2026) listings (log) Python Communication Physical Therapy Project Management Communication Skills Data Analysis Artificial Intelligence SQL Problem-solving Sales Leadership Machine Learning C++ Java Go Kubernetes Distributed Systems Analytical Skills Software Engineering Customer Service Marketing Treatment Planning Electrical Engineering AWS Teamwork TypeScript Rust Patient Assessment Excel Patient Care Product Management Mechanical Engineering React JavaScript Large Language Models Automation Linux AI Tools Salesforce Computer Science English Networking Data Science Time Management Team Management Google Cloud Microsoft Office SaaS Software Development Cloud Infrastructure
Weekly job-ad volume, twenty-week window
26,937 ads · 38 weeks · /stats/hiring-velocity
Live
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 peak 2,748 2025-49 2026-02 2026-07 2026-15 2026-20 2026-25 2026-30 2026-35
03 · Frontier models Prices live from OpenRouter · benchmarks as reported

The frontier scorecard, and where each model earns its tokens.

The local fleet exists to take work off paid APIs, and that decision needs the other half of the equation: what the frontier APIs cost and deliver. The prices below are live - pulled from OpenRouter's public model list when this page loads - while the benchmark scores and one-line reads are reported from public leaderboards, not yet our own gauntlet, and we label the split on purpose. The routing conclusion at the bottom is ours.

Model $/Mtok in / out SWE-bench Verified The one-line read
Claude Fable 5 $10 / $50 95.0% The long-horizon king; the tool-calling reliability benchmark
Claude Opus 4.8 $5 / $25 88.6% The reliable workhorse at half Fable's price
Kimi K3 $3 / $15 93.4% Vision in the agentic loop - fixes CSS from screenshots
DeepSeek V4 Pro $1.6 / $3.2 80.6% The economics-breaker: ~80% SWE-bench at ~28x cheaper output than Opus
Qwen Coder (latest) $0.3 / $1 - The open-weight coder line we run locally, hosted for when the rig is busy

Prices live from OpenRouter's public model list · * = curated snapshot where unlisted · benchmarks and reads as reported

70% 80% 90% 100% $0.1 $0.25 $0.5 $1 $2 $5 $10 $25 input $/Mtok · log scale · live SWE-bench Verified 3x cheaper input Claude Fable 5 $10 Kimi K3 $3 Claude Opus 4.8 $5 DeepSeek V4 Pro $1.6 MiniMax M3 $0.3
Capability is a reported benchmark; price is what the routing market charges right now. The gap is the routing argument. Routed prices are uncommitted list prices and may reflect quantised deployments; benchmark scores were measured on the original weights.
Tier 1 · free, measured

The local fleet: extraction, formatting, TypeScript scaffolding, casual vision, bulk drafts. Free after hardware, and every capability claim benchmarked on our own rig.

Tier 2 · candidate, unverified

DeepSeek V4 Pro as the middle tier for high-volume agent loops that outgrow local capability - once it passes the same correctness gauntlet the local models face. Reported numbers don't route real work here; ours will.

Tier 3 · expensive, proven

Claude for orchestration, architecture, hard debugging - anywhere being wrong costs more than the tokens. Tool-calling reliability is where the frontier lead is least contested, and our whole delegation model depends on it.