As a Transformative AI Research Economist at Anthropic, you will build macroeconomic models of AI that could be genuinely transformative and develop the scenario-based forecasting tools that let us reason quantitatively about economic trajectories with no historical precedent.nnYou will ground projections in microeconomic signals from the Anthropic Economic Index , usage patterns across millions of real-world AI interactions, surfaced through privacy-preserving measurement , so that scenario forecasts are disciplined by what we actually observe about task transformation and productivity.nnOur team combines rigorous empirical methods with novel measurement approaches. We're building first-of-its-kind datasets tracking AI's impact on labor markets, productivity, and economic transformation.nnResponsibilities:nn Build macroeconomic models of transformative AI spanning growth, labor markets, and income distributionn Develop and maintain scenario-based forecasting tools; publish forecasts for GDP, productivity, and unemployment under a range of AI-capability trajectoriesn Ground macroeconomic projections in microeconomic data from the Anthropic Economic Index, constraining theory with observed patterns of adoption and task transformationn Analyze questions of income distribution and economic governance under transformative-AI scenariosn Contribute to the development of AI-powered research tools for economicsn Contribute to Economic Index Reports and publish Research Briefs on first-order questions as they arisen Build and maintain relationships with academic institutions, policy think tanks, and other research partnersn Amplify external engagement through research publications, policy briefs, and presentations to diverse stakeholdersnnYou May Be a Good Fit If You Have:nn PhD in Economics, or an exceptional candidate close to completionn Background in macroeconomics, growth theory, or public finance ideally with exposure to task-based frameworks and labor economicsn A research record that engages seriously with the possibility of transformative AI , you treat the scenarios in this posting as live questions worth modeling rigorously, not speculation to be hedged againstn Relevant experience in some of:nn Macroeconomic modeling and structural estimationn Scenario-based and time-series forecastingn Task-based approaches to technological changen Computational methods, agent-based modeling, or large-scale simulationn Income distribution and inequalityn Using large language models in the research workflown Technical skills including:nn Proficiency in Python, Julia, or similar for computational economicsn Facility with AI coding agents as part of a research workflown Comfort learning new technical tools and frameworksn Demonstrated ability to:nn Lead research projects from conception to publicationn Ship on tight timelines and revise in public as new data arrivesn Communicate technical findings to diverse audiencesn Strong interest in ensuring AI development benefits humanitynnSome Examples of Our Recent Work:nn Labor market impacts of AI: A new measure and early evidencen Anthropic Economic Index Report: Economic Primitivesn Anthropic Economic Index Report: Uneven Geographic and Enterprise AI Adoptionn Estimating AI productivity gains from Claude conversationsn The Anthropic Economic IndexnnAdditional Information:nnFor this role, we're looking for candidates who combine rigorous macroeconomic theory with computational fluency, and who are willing to model economic scenarios that fall outside the profession's usual range. The ideal candidate works at the intersection of growth theory, forecasting, and frontier AI.nnDeadline to apply: None. Applications are reviewed on a rolling basisnnThe annual compensation range for this role is listed below.nnFor sales roles, the range provided is the role’s On Target Earnings ("OTE") range, meaning that the range includes both the sales commissions/sales bonuses target and annual base salary for the role.nnAnnual Salary: $300,000-$405,000 USD
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